The data in brief
Australia's jobs picture in August was a paradox you can feel: more people working and more people out of work. The Australian Bureau of Statistics reported unemployment at 4.6% while payrolls grew by 39,500, topping a projected 20,000 increase. The share of people in the workforce edged up to 67.1% from 66.9%.
What policymakers will watch
This is the final major readout before the Reserve Bank of Australia's Sept. 28-29 meeting, and it signals that a labor market the RBA has called "a bit tight" is starting to ease. Earlier this week, Governor Michele Bullock said unemployment moving toward 5% would loosen labor conditions and help reduce inflation pressures. The central bank's August projections put the unemployment peak at 4.8% by mid-2028.
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Where this leaves rates and your portfolio
For close to five years, inflation has remained above the middle of the 2 to 3 percent target range. On Tuesday, the RBA is forecast to enact a fourth increase this year, lifting the cash rate to 4.6%, a mark last reached in late 2011. From February through May, officials lifted rates on three occasions to counter faster inflation, and subsequently held them at 4.35% for the last two meetings.
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