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Category: Investing

Blogs

September 22, 2026
Will Interest Rates Go Down in 2026? Where the Money Moves Either Way
By Kalbir Talwar
  • The Fed is leaning toward higher rates to fight 4% inflation, while the White House and a cracking job market push the other way.
  • If rates rise, money has tended to move toward short-term Treasuries, floating-rate loans, energy, banks and dividend payers.
  • If rates fall, it has tended to move toward gold, silver and Bitcoin, real estate, small caps, the S&P 500 and speculative bets.
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September 21, 2026
How the Federal Reserve Makes Money - and Why It Just Posted Its Biggest Loss Ever
By Kalbir Talwar
  • For 109 years the Federal Reserve created money, lent it to the U.S. government and handed the interest it collected back to Washington - almost $1 trillion in the decade starting in 2011.
  • Pandemic-era lending locked the Fed into earning about 2% on trillions of dollars while it now pays banks around 4%, producing a record loss of hundreds of billions in 2026.
  • The Fed covers its losses by creating money and the government covers its lost revenue by borrowing, and both feed the inflation that eats at the dollars in your account.
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September 18, 2026
Kevin Warsh Just Defied Trump: What the Fed Rate Hike Means for Your Money
By Cierra Seay
  • The Fed raised rates for the first time since 2023 in a unanimous vote led by Kevin Warsh, the chairman President Trump appointed to cut them.
  • Higher rates make the $40 trillion national debt, business loan resets and mortgages more expensive, but they strengthen the dollar and pay investors holding cash.
  • The war with Iran is pushing up oil, grocery and chip prices, another hike is likely in 2026, and recession talk is about to get louder.
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September 17, 2026
Why America Bailed Out the Yen: The Japan Carry Trade, the Dollar and Your Mortgage Rate
By Milena Thomas
  • In July 2026 the US sent money to steady the yen because Japan is the largest foreign owner of US debt, and Washington needs Japan to keep lending.
  • For decades the Japan carry trade let Wall Street borrow yen at essentially 0% and pour it into US stocks, real estate and Treasuries, and rising Japanese rates are shutting that off.
  • A weaker yen means fewer buyers for the dollar and for US debt, which pushes Treasury rates up and drags mortgage, car loan and credit card rates up with them.
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September 16, 2026
Treasury Yields Are Spiking Because Lenders Are Backing Away From U.S. Debt
By Jackson Moreland
  • The U.S. is paying its highest 30-year borrowing rate in about two decades because its biggest lenders, the Fed, foreign governments, and banks, are all pulling back from Treasuries.
  • Every mortgage, car loan, credit card, and business loan is priced off the 10-year Treasury yield, so when Washington pays more to borrow, so do you.
  • With about $40 trillion of debt against a $32 trillion economy, the country either outgrows its debt or slides into a doom loop, and investors need a plan for both.
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September 15, 2026
Fiat Currency Runs on Trust, and the World Just Stopped Trusting the Dollar
By Nate Gregory
  • Gold has overtaken US treasuries as the world's top reserve asset, and central banks are now buying less US debt and more gold.
  • The US dollar is a fiat currency, meaning it's backed by a promise rather than gold, so it loses value when fewer countries want to hold it.
  • Whether the US economy or its national debt grows faster from here decides which assets stand to benefit next.
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September 14, 2026
Why RAM Prices Are Soaring - and Where the Money Is Moving
By Cierra Seay
  • Memory chips - the RAM inside phones, laptops, fridges, and trucks - are in a shortage Tim Cook called a 100-year flood, and some memory prices have climbed about 90% in a single quarter.
  • Four forces hit at once: AI demand, a production shutdown in 2023, build times that push any fix to 2028 at the earliest, and a bombed helium plant in Qatar.
  • The last two supply shocks ended in aggressive Fed rate hikes and market drops of around 45% and 20%, and this time Washington is spending heavily to bring memory production home.
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September 11, 2026
How Is the Economy Doing? Washington Says It's Fixed, but the Numbers Don't Agree
By Nate Gregory
  • Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent says the economy is fixed because lower earners' incomes are now rising faster than top earners'.
  • The Atlanta Fed and Bank of America show different numbers, and Hilton, Marriott, and McDonald's can't agree on what they're seeing either.
  • Whichever side is right, the economy is built to make investors rich, and inflation is how it does it.
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September 10, 2026
US National Debt Hits $40 Trillion: Why the Economy Hasn't Collapsed Yet
By Nate Gregory
  • The US national debt crossed $40 trillion in 2026 and is growing faster than the economy. The debt to GDP ratio now sits at 125%, the highest outside the pandemic and higher than World War II.
  • On September 9, 2026, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent rolled out an emergency plan for the government to lend money to itself. Ray Dalio now says the dollar has roughly three years before real pain.
  • Empires rarely default. They debase. Since 1971, median household income grew about 8x while houses grew 17x and the S&P 500 grew 360x, so investors got richer while workers fell behind.
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September 9, 2026
Your 401k Is Fueling the AI Bubble
By Andre Savage
  • About $10 trillion of 401k money sits in a $77 trillion stock market, mostly through target date funds and S&P 500 funds. Roughly 30% of every S&P 500 dollar lands in five AI-heavy tech stocks.
  • Four bubble signals run hotter today than before the 2000 crash: top-ten concentration, tech's share of the index, the Buffett Indicator, and how much of the market index funds own.
  • You only lock in an AI bubble loss if you sell. The 2022, 2020, 2008, and 2000 crashes were all buying windows for long-term investors, and the US-China AI race means government money could keep flowing in.
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