What Cook said and where she said it
How AI and investment are feeding prices
Cook called AI "poised to become the most significant technological shift of our lifetime," while cautioning that the timing and size of the broader productivity boost are hard to pin down. "Uncertainty surrounds any estimates related to how and when this mechanism may operate, and it warrants further research and discussion," she said. For now, heavy data center projects are putting more pressure on scarce inputs such as energy and construction labor.
That squeeze is reflected in electricity and water costs, which are up roughly 5% over the past year. She also warned that broader price pressures could emerge because only a small slice of the roughly $2 trillion in pledged capital has been deployed so far, while AI-fueled stock gains are supporting more consumer spending.
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Fed policy backdrop and market odds
This month, Fed policymakers unanimously voted to lift the benchmark interest rate by 0.25 percentage point; the median projections tentatively penciled in at least one more increase by year end. Chairman Kevin Warsh said the move was meant to remove a "dose of accommodation" from the economy to steer inflation back to the 2% target. Markets are leaning that direction too, with federal funds futures putting the odds of an October hike at about 70%.
Labor market and what comes next
Cook said the job market looks sturdy enough to handle tighter policy, citing a downtrend in unemployment and other readings that are "roughly in balance and gradually improving." She added, "The strength seen in the labor market is also present in the broader data on economic growth, which has remained remarkably resilient over the past year." Translation for your wallet: if growth stays firm and prices don't cool, rates could edge higher and borrowing costs may keep shifting as fresh data roll in.
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