Free NewsletterPro Login

Warning: Undefined variable $stocks in /var/www/briefs.co/htdocs/wp-content/plugins/oxygen/component-framework/components/classes/code-block.class.php(133) : eval()'d code on line 448

Warning: foreach() argument must be of type array|object, null given in /var/www/briefs.co/htdocs/wp-content/plugins/oxygen/component-framework/components/classes/code-block.class.php(133) : eval()'d code on line 448

Warning: Undefined variable $funds in /var/www/briefs.co/htdocs/wp-content/plugins/oxygen/component-framework/components/classes/code-block.class.php(133) : eval()'d code on line 472

Warning: foreach() argument must be of type array|object, null given in /var/www/briefs.co/htdocs/wp-content/plugins/oxygen/component-framework/components/classes/code-block.class.php(133) : eval()'d code on line 472
/* the link was here */
×
Free investor livestream — Nov 17

How To Use ChatGPT & Claude To Research Stocks Like A Pro

01
The prompt we use to break down any stock
02
How to fact-check what AI tells you
03
How to compare two stocks in minutes

Iran Crisis Pushed Glencore to Temporarily Lift Its Daily Trading Cap

Published Aug 5, 2026
Share:
Summary:
  • Glencore's trading division generated roughly $3.3 billion in the opening six months of this year, surpassing its full-year 2025 result.
  • The board temporarily allowed its daily value-at-risk to exceed its usual $200 million cap, reaching a peak of $456 million after the Strait of Hormuz was effectively closed.
  • The extra-risk waiver ended in late May, and by the end of June the company's VaR had fallen to $48 million.

A Closed Waterway and a Raised Risk Limit

The Strait of Hormuz is one of the world's busiest oil routes. When it was effectively closed at the end of February, large volumes of crude and refined products were left stuck in the Persian Gulf, and energy prices spiked.

The strait sits between the Persian Gulf and the Gulf of Oman. A big share of the world's oil normally moves through it.

When that route is blocked, tankers cannot move, and prices start to swing.

In March, as the US war on Iran was still in its early phase, Glencore's board approved a temporary change. Traders were allowed to take on more risk than usual.

Glencore measures that risk with a number called value-at-risk, or VaR. It estimates how much money the company could lose on an ordinary day of trading.

That number can move even when nothing changes except the market. When prices swing violently, the potential daily loss rises, so VaR climbs automatically. That is why Glencore later said the bigger number came mostly from market volatility, not from a bigger appetite for risk.

The company's standard ceiling was $200 million. The waiver pushed that number to a peak of $456 million, more than double.

The Trading Arm Made $3.3 Billion

The extra risk had a payoff.

The money story behind the headlines is usually the part that matters. Join Market Briefs free and get it every morning.

That is more than Glencore's full-year 2025 total. The trading arm's only better first half came in 2022, when Russia's invasion of Ukraine triggered a global energy crisis.

Chief Financial Officer Steven Kalmin said the company stayed cautious even while it was taking on more risk. "Positionally, it was very conservative," he said.

He also said Glencore was risk-averse on the direction of oil prices. In other words, it was not betting that prices would go up or down.

It was simply trading around the market's chaos. That can be a good position when prices are swinging hard in both directions.

The Waiver Ended as Markets Settled

The extra risk was not a permanent shift. At the end of June, its VaR had dropped to $48 million, far below the $456 million peak.

The fast drop reinforced that message. The crisis moved oil markets, but it did not change the company's appetite for risk.

What This Means for Your Money

All of this matters beyond one trading desk. When the Strait of Hormuz closes, oil prices jump.

That jump shows up at the gas station and in your portfolio if you own energy stocks. Large traders with the nerve to take on extra risk can capture a lot of profit in a crisis.

But the window closes. Glencore's waiver lasted from March until late May, and risk fell back quickly once the panic cooled.

The bigger lesson is quieter: a huge profit from a volatile market does not always mean a company took a wild bet. Sometimes it just means the world was disrupted, and prices moved enough to make moving oil worth a lot more.

For investors, that is the part to remember the next time a headline about war makes energy prices swing. A company can earn a giant pile of cash in a messy market and still be playing it safe.

Understanding what moved a market beats knowing that it moved. Get the free Market Briefs daily newsletter and follow the drivers.

Disclosure

Recent News

1 2 3 … 123

Get Market Briefs delivered to your inbox every morning for free!

No fluff. No noise. No politics. Just finance news you can read in 5 minutes.

Blogs

November 3, 2026
How to Budget Every Payday: 5 Moves So You Never Worry About Money
  • A median earner could make about $4.7 million over a career, yet most retire with closer to $13,000 in the bank because of a keeping problem, not an income problem.
  • Audit your money, save $2,000, pay off credit card debt, then automate a 75/15/10 split across three bank accounts.
  • Earn more only after your system is in place, then protect what you build with an accountant, attorneys, the right insurance, and an estate plan.
Read More
November 3, 2026
How to Invest in Stocks: 5 Things to Do Before You Invest Your First Dollar
  • Paying off credit card debt at around 22% interest beats the stock market's roughly 10% average, and even Warren Buffett's 19%.
  • Save $2,000 in a separate emergency fund, learn to research with AI, and decide whether you're a growth, income, or wealth preservation investor.
  • Write down a plan for buying during market crashes, which have happened 25 times in the last 100 years.
Read More
November 3, 2026
Best ETFs to Buy: 5 Three-ETF Portfolios for Every Investing Goal
  • An ETF is a basket of stocks, so one purchase spreads your money across many companies instead of riding on just one.
  • Jaspreet Singh laid out five portfolios of three ETFs each, built for kids, cash flow, growth, slow and steady growth, and protection from a weaker dollar.
  • Based on 10-year average returns, $500 a month could grow to between about $660,000 and $3.1 million over 30 years, though past returns never guarantee future ones.
Read More
November 3, 2026
Best Investments of a Generation: 5 Market Shifts Backed by Your Tax Dollars
  • Private companies are about to spend $1 trillion a year on AI, and the Trump administration is putting tax dollars behind the same industries.
  • The five shifts are AI and its supply chain, robotics, rare earths, energy, and defense.
  • Each comes with real risk, from an AI bubble to wars ending or a new Congress, so these are ideas to research, not sure things.
Read More
November 3, 2026
How to Get Ahead Financially: 10 Moves to Make While Everyone Else Falls Behind
  • Learning a high-income AI skill, or building AI tools for tradespeople, can raise your earning power in a tough job market.
  • Higher interest rates, the 2025 tax cuts, Trump accounts, and stacked cash back can put more money back in your pocket.
  • Following where government money is moving, keeping cash ready for market crashes, and investing in your own education can speed up your wealth.
Read More
November 3, 2026
National Debt at $40 Trillion: Why Inflation Is the Hidden Tax, and Who Profits From It
  • Time magazine asked President Trump how he'd tackle the $40 trillion national debt, and he suggested inflation could help pay it off, a cost that lands on everyday Americans.
  • From 1971 to 2025, cars, houses, and college outpaced both inflation and incomes, while the S&P 500 grew more than 33,000% with dividends reinvested.
  • The U.S. can default, inflate, or outgrow its debt, and history shows each path rewards different assets.
Read More
November 3, 2026
FOMC Meeting: Why the Fed Is Getting Nervous, and Why AI Stocks Feel It
  • At its latest meeting, the Fed held rates steady but warned it may raise them again, because inflation is running near 3.5% against a 2% target.
  • Oil prices, tariffs, AI's hunger for energy, and government spending are all pushing prices higher, and gold, silver, and bitcoin fell on the Fed's news.
  • Chinese AI stocks are down about 40% in a few months and Google fell more than 10% in a day, raising fears that higher rates could pop an AI bubble.
Read More
November 3, 2026
Midterm Elections: Where the Money Could Move if Republicans or Democrats Win
  • The U.S. government spent about $7.5 trillion last year, and the midterm elections could change which industries get more of that money.
  • A Republican win could favor manufacturing, fossil fuels, banks, and defense.
  • A Democratic win could favor healthcare, weight-loss drugs, clean energy, and infrastructure.
Read More
November 3, 2026
Brazil Stock Market Crash: Why Lula's Win Matters to U.S. Investors
  • Brazil's stock market fell more than 20% in a few days, and its currency dropped 8%, after Lula won a presidential election investors expected him to lose.
  • The shock reaches U.S. investors through coffee and beef prices, the BRICS push away from the dollar, and a market that had become an investor favorite.
  • The last time Lula first won, in 2002, Brazil's stock market fell more than 20% and then grew 12x by 2008, though nobody knows if that will repeat.
Read More
November 2, 2026
Credit Utilization: How Paying Down Cards Can Help Your Score
  • Credit utilization is your card balances divided by your credit limits, checked overall and card by card.
  • Lower is generally better, and Experian says the effect becomes more noticeable around 30%.
  • Paying down balances and keeping new charges off your cards are the main ways to lower it.
Read More
1 2 3 … 32
Share via
Copy link