Free NewsletterPro Login
Free Live Investors Workshop
Seats limited
Tue, Sep 29.
The dollar is losing value.
Here’s how investors can still profit.
Hosted By
Jaspreet Singh
Founder, Briefs Finance
X

Warning: Undefined variable $stocks in /var/www/briefs.co/htdocs/wp-content/plugins/oxygen/component-framework/components/classes/code-block.class.php(133) : eval()'d code on line 448

Warning: foreach() argument must be of type array|object, null given in /var/www/briefs.co/htdocs/wp-content/plugins/oxygen/component-framework/components/classes/code-block.class.php(133) : eval()'d code on line 448

Warning: Undefined variable $funds in /var/www/briefs.co/htdocs/wp-content/plugins/oxygen/component-framework/components/classes/code-block.class.php(133) : eval()'d code on line 472

Warning: foreach() argument must be of type array|object, null given in /var/www/briefs.co/htdocs/wp-content/plugins/oxygen/component-framework/components/classes/code-block.class.php(133) : eval()'d code on line 472
/* the link was here */

Brazil's June Crude Oil Output Record Bolsters Non-OPEC Supply Amid Gulf Conflict

Published Aug 3, 2026
Share:
Offshore floating production vessel with a burning gas flare in deep blue Atlantic water
Summary:
  • Brazil produced 4.5 million barrels of crude per day in June, roughly 19% more than a year earlier.
  • Around 87% of Brazil's total oil and gas output came from Petrobras-operated fields, alone or in consortium; Búzios was the top oil field and Mero the top gas field.
  • Supplies from non-Middle East producers made up for reduced Middle East exports after US-Iran fighting disrupted the Strait of Hormuz.

By Charles Gorrivan August 3, 2026

A Record Month for Brazilian Crude

Brazil set a new monthly crude-output record in June.

Compared with May, output grew around 4%. Combined oil and natural gas volumes came to 5.8 million barrels of oil equivalent per day.

The June data arrived as the oil market dealt with the disruption of tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz caused by fighting between the US and Iran. That waterway had carried roughly one-fifth of global oil supply before the conflict.

War Upends the Oil Outlook

This year's expected oil surplus was overturned by the conflict. Analysts had said, "The surplus would be driven by non-OPEC supply." The disruption to shipping and the fall in Middle East exports changed that outlook.

Get the market news that matters in a five-minute read with Market Briefs, our free daily newsletter

The closure of the strait removed a large share of Gulf exports and pushed buyers toward other regions. That made Brazilian output, and Petrobras's ability to stretch its platforms, more important than ever.

Petrobras Leads the Way

Petrobras, controlled by the Brazilian state, was responsible for most of the extra crude. To maximize crude extraction, it is now pushing its offshore platforms at fields such as Búzios to produce above their original design capacity.

The Offshore Giants Behind the Numbers

The June figures put the spotlight on Brazil's offshore hubs. Búzios and Mero help explain why Brazil could respond as buyers looked for alternatives to Middle East crude.

Still Above 5 Million

ANP data show Brazil's total oil and equivalent output has stayed over the 5 million-barrel mark since June's peak cooled. The extra supply is not a one-time event.

The post-June readings reinforce the importance of Brazilian barrels while Gulf shipments remain disrupted. With Petrobras keeping its offshore units at elevated rates, Brazil can continue to supply buyers looking for alternatives to Middle East crude. The record June figure, combined with sustained output above 5 million barrels of oil equivalent per day, gives the country a central place in the non-OPEC supply response.

Market Reaction

Market data showed Crude Oil at 80.02, up 5.49%, and Petroleo Brasileiro SA - Petrobras at 43.05, up 0.85%. Petrobras's record production gives the company a central role in the non-OPEC supply response as the war continues to limit Middle East exports.

What It Means for Investors

The market reaction reflected the shifting calculus. With Gulf exports still constrained, traders are pricing in a tighter balance than the surplus that had been expected. Petrobras, as the operator behind roughly 87% of Brazilian output, is positioned to benefit from any sustained demand for non-Middle East barrels. Its record in June and continued output above 5 million barrels of oil equivalent per day give investors a tangible reason to watch Brazilian supply data closely.

Join Market Briefs, our free daily newsletter, for a quick daily rundown of the markets

Disclosure

Recent News

1 2 3 82

Get Market Briefs delivered to your inbox every morning for free!

No fluff. No noise. No politics. Just finance news you can read in 5 minutes.

Blogs

September 21, 2026
How the Federal Reserve Makes Money - and Why It Just Posted Its Biggest Loss Ever
  • For 109 years the Federal Reserve created money, lent it to the U.S. government and handed the interest it collected back to Washington - almost $1 trillion in the decade starting in 2011.
  • Pandemic-era lending locked the Fed into earning about 2% on trillions of dollars while it now pays banks around 4%, producing a record loss of hundreds of billions in 2026.
  • The Fed covers its losses by creating money and the government covers its lost revenue by borrowing, and both feed the inflation that eats at the dollars in your account.
Read More
September 18, 2026
Kevin Warsh Just Defied Trump: What the Fed Rate Hike Means for Your Money
  • The Fed raised rates for the first time since 2023 in a unanimous vote led by Kevin Warsh, the chairman President Trump appointed to cut them.
  • Higher rates make the $40 trillion national debt, business loan resets and mortgages more expensive, but they strengthen the dollar and pay investors holding cash.
  • The war with Iran is pushing up oil, grocery and chip prices, another hike is likely in 2026, and recession talk is about to get louder.
Read More
September 17, 2026
Why America Bailed Out the Yen: The Japan Carry Trade, the Dollar and Your Mortgage Rate
  • In July 2026 the US sent money to steady the yen because Japan is the largest foreign owner of US debt, and Washington needs Japan to keep lending.
  • For decades the Japan carry trade let Wall Street borrow yen at essentially 0% and pour it into US stocks, real estate and Treasuries, and rising Japanese rates are shutting that off.
  • A weaker yen means fewer buyers for the dollar and for US debt, which pushes Treasury rates up and drags mortgage, car loan and credit card rates up with them.
Read More
September 16, 2026
Treasury Yields Are Spiking Because Lenders Are Backing Away From U.S. Debt
  • The U.S. is paying its highest 30-year borrowing rate in about two decades because its biggest lenders, the Fed, foreign governments, and banks, are all pulling back from Treasuries.
  • Every mortgage, car loan, credit card, and business loan is priced off the 10-year Treasury yield, so when Washington pays more to borrow, so do you.
  • With about $40 trillion of debt against a $32 trillion economy, the country either outgrows its debt or slides into a doom loop, and investors need a plan for both.
Read More
September 15, 2026
Fiat Currency Runs on Trust, and the World Just Stopped Trusting the Dollar
  • Gold has overtaken US treasuries as the world's top reserve asset, and central banks are now buying less US debt and more gold.
  • The US dollar is a fiat currency, meaning it's backed by a promise rather than gold, so it loses value when fewer countries want to hold it.
  • Whether the US economy or its national debt grows faster from here decides which assets stand to benefit next.
Read More
September 14, 2026
Why RAM Prices Are Soaring - and Where the Money Is Moving
  • Memory chips - the RAM inside phones, laptops, fridges, and trucks - are in a shortage Tim Cook called a 100-year flood, and some memory prices have climbed about 90% in a single quarter.
  • Four forces hit at once: AI demand, a production shutdown in 2023, build times that push any fix to 2028 at the earliest, and a bombed helium plant in Qatar.
  • The last two supply shocks ended in aggressive Fed rate hikes and market drops of around 45% and 20%, and this time Washington is spending heavily to bring memory production home.
Read More
September 11, 2026
How Is the Economy Doing? Washington Says It's Fixed, but the Numbers Don't Agree
  • Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent says the economy is fixed because lower earners' incomes are now rising faster than top earners'.
  • The Atlanta Fed and Bank of America show different numbers, and Hilton, Marriott, and McDonald's can't agree on what they're seeing either.
  • Whichever side is right, the economy is built to make investors rich, and inflation is how it does it.
Read More
September 10, 2026
US National Debt Hits $40 Trillion: Why the Economy Hasn't Collapsed Yet
  • The US national debt crossed $40 trillion in 2026 and is growing faster than the economy. The debt to GDP ratio now sits at 125%, the highest outside the pandemic and higher than World War II.
  • On September 9, 2026, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent rolled out an emergency plan for the government to lend money to itself. Ray Dalio now says the dollar has roughly three years before real pain.
  • Empires rarely default. They debase. Since 1971, median household income grew about 8x while houses grew 17x and the S&P 500 grew 360x, so investors got richer while workers fell behind.
Read More
September 9, 2026
Your 401k Is Fueling the AI Bubble
  • About $10 trillion of 401k money sits in a $77 trillion stock market, mostly through target date funds and S&P 500 funds. Roughly 30% of every S&P 500 dollar lands in five AI-heavy tech stocks.
  • Four bubble signals run hotter today than before the 2000 crash: top-ten concentration, tech's share of the index, the Buffett Indicator, and how much of the market index funds own.
  • You only lock in an AI bubble loss if you sell. The 2022, 2020, 2008, and 2000 crashes were all buying windows for long-term investors, and the US-China AI race means government money could keep flowing in.
Read More
September 9, 2026
What Is Wealth Preservation? How To Protect Your Money From Anything
  • Wealth preservation is an investing strategy built around keeping the money you've already made instead of chasing growth.
  • It leans on assets that hold steady when markets fall - gold, Treasury bonds, and companies that keep earning through wars, crashes, and pandemics.
  • The tradeoff is real: you give up some upside, and the two key numbers to check are maximum drawdown and correlation to the market.
Read More
1 2 3 27
Share via
Copy link