Free NewsletterPro Login

Free Live Investors Workshop

Seats limited

Tue, Sep 29.

The dollar is losing value.

Here’s how investors can still profit.

Hosted By

Jaspreet Singh

Founder, Briefs Finance

X

Warning: Undefined variable $stocks in /var/www/briefs.co/htdocs/wp-content/plugins/oxygen/component-framework/components/classes/code-block.class.php(133) : eval()'d code on line 448

Warning: foreach() argument must be of type array|object, null given in /var/www/briefs.co/htdocs/wp-content/plugins/oxygen/component-framework/components/classes/code-block.class.php(133) : eval()'d code on line 448

Warning: Undefined variable $funds in /var/www/briefs.co/htdocs/wp-content/plugins/oxygen/component-framework/components/classes/code-block.class.php(133) : eval()'d code on line 472

Warning: foreach() argument must be of type array|object, null given in /var/www/briefs.co/htdocs/wp-content/plugins/oxygen/component-framework/components/classes/code-block.class.php(133) : eval()'d code on line 472
/* the link was here */

$17.9 Trillion Home Equity Pushes Owners into Golden Handcuffs

Published Jul 28, 2026
Share:
$17.9 Trillion Home Equity Pushes Owners into Golden Handcuffs
Summary:
  • In early 2026, U.S. mortgaged homeowners had $17.9 trillion in home equity, a new high.
  • The average mortgaged homeowner now has $310,500 in equity, with loan-to-value ratios sitting at just 43%.
  • Despite this massive wealth, many owners are staying put because they would have to trade their low mortgage rates for today's higher borrowing costs.

A Record Pile of Home Equity

Your home is probably worth more than you think. And if you have a mortgage, the number that matters most - equity, what you actually own after subtracting what you owe - just hit an all-time high.

That is about five times the amount Americans had 15 years ago, back when many people were just starting to recover from the Great Financial Crisis.

That is a striking shift from the worst of the crisis, when 26% of mortgaged homes were underwater - meaning the owner owed more than the house was worth. Today, only 1.9% of mortgaged homes are in that position, about 1.09 million properties.

The numbers look even bigger in certain states. Homeowners in Hawaii have the most equity at $688,000 on average, followed by California at $626,900, Massachusetts at $479,600, Washington at $441,000, and New York at $433,000. At the other end, the lowest average equity, under $125,000, is found in Louisiana, Oklahoma, and Iowa.

Cotality's chief economist Selma Hepp said this giant pool of housing wealth is supporting household net worth. But she also pointed out the tension: it keeps many homeowners "handcuffed" and contributes to a slower market.

The Trade-Off Nobody Talks About

Here is the part that gets interesting for anyone watching the housing market. Home values have climbed for years, and owners have been steadily paying down their mortgages. That is how you get to $17.9 trillion in equity. But most of those owners also secured ultra-low mortgage rates in recent years.

Get the market news that matters in a five-minute read with Market Briefs, our free daily newsletter

Selling would mean borrowing at today's significantly higher costs. So a lot of people are sitting on a pile of wealth they cannot easily use without giving up that cheap financing.

Instead of selling, more homeowners are turning to home equity loans and lines of credit. In the first quarter of 2026, lenders issued more than $77 billion worth of those products, a figure about 10% higher than in the same period the year prior. It is a way to tap the cash without losing the low rate.

The main challenge for the housing market today is not financial distress. It is convincing people to move at all. Owners are not underwater. They are just stuck by a very good deal they do not want to give up.

The bottom line: The golden handcuffs effect keeps inventory low, which supports prices but also makes it harder for buyers to find a home.

What That Means for Your Portfolio

For investors, this equity record is good news in one obvious way. When combining all homeowners, including those with no mortgage, the total housing equity is estimated at $34 trillion. That is a massive financial cushion. Even as everyday costs keep rising, most homeowners have a safety net they did not have a decade ago.

But the story gets more complicated depending on where you look. Consider what happens when a California homeowner cashes out. After selling a median-priced home in California and buying one in Florida with all cash, they would have roughly $271,900 left over.

Do the same move to Texas and the leftover is approximately $319,400. Head to Ohio and it jumps to more than $412,000.

That geography gap matters for local markets. Wealth is concentrated in certain states, and when people do decide to move, that equity flows to a new place.

The risk side is worth watching too. If home prices dropped 5%, about 188,000 homes would fall into negative equity. If prices rose 5%, roughly 130,000 more homes would become positive. The market is not fragile, but it is sensitive.

For your portfolio, the takeaway is simple. Home equity at this level supports consumer spending and household balance sheets. But it also creates a market that moves slowly.

Fewer people selling means fewer homes to buy. That dynamic does not change until interest rates come down enough to make trading that low mortgage rate worth it - or until enough homeowners decide the cash is too good to leave on the table.

Join Market Briefs, our free daily newsletter, for a quick daily rundown of the markets

Disclosure

Recent News

1 2 3 80

Get Market Briefs delivered to your inbox every morning for free!

No fluff. No noise. No politics. Just finance news you can read in 5 minutes.

Blogs

September 17, 2026
Why America Bailed Out the Yen: The Japan Carry Trade, the Dollar and Your Mortgage Rate
  • In July 2026 the US sent money to steady the yen because Japan is the largest foreign owner of US debt, and Washington needs Japan to keep lending.
  • For decades the Japan carry trade let Wall Street borrow yen at essentially 0% and pour it into US stocks, real estate and Treasuries, and rising Japanese rates are shutting that off.
  • A weaker yen means fewer buyers for the dollar and for US debt, which pushes Treasury rates up and drags mortgage, car loan and credit card rates up with them.
Read More
September 16, 2026
Treasury Yields Are Spiking Because Lenders Are Backing Away From U.S. Debt
  • The U.S. is paying its highest 30-year borrowing rate in about two decades because its biggest lenders, the Fed, foreign governments, and banks, are all pulling back from Treasuries.
  • Every mortgage, car loan, credit card, and business loan is priced off the 10-year Treasury yield, so when Washington pays more to borrow, so do you.
  • With about $40 trillion of debt against a $32 trillion economy, the country either outgrows its debt or slides into a doom loop, and investors need a plan for both.
Read More
September 15, 2026
Fiat Currency Runs on Trust, and the World Just Stopped Trusting the Dollar
  • Gold has overtaken US treasuries as the world's top reserve asset, and central banks are now buying less US debt and more gold.
  • The US dollar is a fiat currency, meaning it's backed by a promise rather than gold, so it loses value when fewer countries want to hold it.
  • Whether the US economy or its national debt grows faster from here decides which assets stand to benefit next.
Read More
September 14, 2026
Why RAM Prices Are Soaring - and Where the Money Is Moving
  • Memory chips - the RAM inside phones, laptops, fridges, and trucks - are in a shortage Tim Cook called a 100-year flood, and some memory prices have climbed about 90% in a single quarter.
  • Four forces hit at once: AI demand, a production shutdown in 2023, build times that push any fix to 2028 at the earliest, and a bombed helium plant in Qatar.
  • The last two supply shocks ended in aggressive Fed rate hikes and market drops of around 45% and 20%, and this time Washington is spending heavily to bring memory production home.
Read More
September 11, 2026
How Is the Economy Doing? Washington Says It's Fixed, but the Numbers Don't Agree
  • Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent says the economy is fixed because lower earners' incomes are now rising faster than top earners'.
  • The Atlanta Fed and Bank of America show different numbers, and Hilton, Marriott, and McDonald's can't agree on what they're seeing either.
  • Whichever side is right, the economy is built to make investors rich, and inflation is how it does it.
Read More
September 10, 2026
US National Debt Hits $40 Trillion: Why the Economy Hasn't Collapsed Yet
  • The US national debt crossed $40 trillion in 2026 and is growing faster than the economy. The debt to GDP ratio now sits at 125%, the highest outside the pandemic and higher than World War II.
  • On September 9, 2026, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent rolled out an emergency plan for the government to lend money to itself. Ray Dalio now says the dollar has roughly three years before real pain.
  • Empires rarely default. They debase. Since 1971, median household income grew about 8x while houses grew 17x and the S&P 500 grew 360x, so investors got richer while workers fell behind.
Read More
September 9, 2026
Your 401k Is Fueling the AI Bubble
  • About $10 trillion of 401k money sits in a $77 trillion stock market, mostly through target date funds and S&P 500 funds. Roughly 30% of every S&P 500 dollar lands in five AI-heavy tech stocks.
  • Four bubble signals run hotter today than before the 2000 crash: top-ten concentration, tech's share of the index, the Buffett Indicator, and how much of the market index funds own.
  • You only lock in an AI bubble loss if you sell. The 2022, 2020, 2008, and 2000 crashes were all buying windows for long-term investors, and the US-China AI race means government money could keep flowing in.
Read More
September 9, 2026
What Is Wealth Preservation? How To Protect Your Money From Anything
  • Wealth preservation is an investing strategy built around keeping the money you've already made instead of chasing growth.
  • It leans on assets that hold steady when markets fall - gold, Treasury bonds, and companies that keep earning through wars, crashes, and pandemics.
  • The tradeoff is real: you give up some upside, and the two key numbers to check are maximum drawdown and correlation to the market.
Read More
September 8, 2026
Why Is Everything So Expensive? Why Prices May Never Come Back Down
  • Official inflation is 3.4% and prices are up 32% since 2020, but rent (41%), gas (47%), car insurance (64%) and ground beef (79%) all outran the 28% median wage.
  • The Federal Reserve targets 2% inflation on purpose. Rising prices push extra dollars to investors and shrink the real cost of a $40 trillion national debt.
  • Investors who simply owned the S&P 500 gained about 150% over the same six years, and the Fed's September 16 decision will show whether it protects the dollar or the economy first.
Read More
September 7, 2026
The U.S. Housing Market Just Flipped: Renting a Home Now Beats Buying One
  • The US is in a buyer's market in 41 of the 50 largest metro areas, but prices sit near record highs and mortgage rates are close to 7%.
  • The same median house costs 27% more than it did in 2021 while the monthly payment costs 90% more, and incomes rose a little more than 10%.
  • A 2008-style crash is not showing up in the data, so the pressure is landing on buyers instead of prices.
Read More
1 2 3 27
Share via
Copy link