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Free investor livestream — Nov 17

How To Use ChatGPT & Claude To Research Stocks Like A Pro

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The prompt we use to break down any stock
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Warmest U.S. Winter Likely, Sapping Gas Demand as Traders Pile Into Record Shorts

Andre Savage
Published Nov 4, 2026
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Summary:
  • Forecasters see a record-mild U.S. winter tied to a strengthening El Niño, pointing to weaker heating demand.
  • Fund managers hold the biggest-ever short-only bet in U.S. gas futures and the largest net short since February 2020, per weekly CFTC data.
  • Appalachian gas producers including EQT and Antero say they will curb output in Q4 as prices slump.

What the forecasts say

A strengthening El Niño is setting up what is expected to be the warmest U.S. winter on record. Matt Rogers, president of the Commodity Weather Group, said October ranked third warmest since 1950 based on natural gas-weighted heating degree days, a proxy for heating demand. He added November is tracking to be the warmest on record "by a lot," and that both the core winter period of December through February and the broader November through March heating season are also likely to set new warmth records.

That early-season warmth has already trimmed heating needs, taking some pressure off inflation for consumers and officials contending with high gasoline, diesel and jet fuel prices.

How markets and producers are reacting

Traders have swung hard bearish. Money managers now hold the largest short-only position in U.S. natural gas futures on record and the biggest net-short stance since February 2020, according to the latest weekly Commodity Futures Trading Commission data.

Producers are adjusting too.

Smart investors stay curious about new tools that can sharpen their decision making. We're hosting our first ever investor livestream on 11/17 to show you how to use ChatGPT and Claude to invest like a pro, hosted by Briefs Finance CEO Jaspreet Singh. Save your seat.

Why Europe is different

U.S. gas prices have been insulated from overseas turmoil because limits on liquefied natural gas export capacity constrain shipments. Europe is not getting that relief.

The risk and what it could mean for your portfolio

But with a record pile of short positions, the risk of a squeeze rises.

The bottom line: watch the temperature forecasts, inventory updates, and producer curtailments if you have energy exposure.

Learning how technology informs judgment helps investors find an informational edge with confidence. On 11/17, our CEO Jaspreet Singh goes live for our first ever investor livestream on how to use ChatGPT and Claude to invest like a pro. Register to join him.

Disclosure

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