What the committee did
The Monetary Policy Committee lifted the policy rate to 4% from 3.75% in an 8-1 decision, with Catherine Mann preferring 4.25%. As the minutes put it, "The degree of inflationary pressure in the pipeline is now sufficient to warrant an increase in Bank Rate," and the committee will "assess the evidence" before deciding on additional increases in the coming months.
Why the move happened
The move had largely been expected, as higher energy costs stemming from the US-Iran war lifted inflation beyond the 2% target. In the year up to September, consumer prices rose 3.5%.
Forecasts and records released
The projections released with the decision indicate that, in the second quarter of 2027, average price growth could be 4.9%.
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The committee on next steps
The minutes say the committee will "assess the evidence" before committing to more tightening in the months ahead. The bottom line: the path of future hikes is open, and the bank says it will move as the data do.
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