Q3 by the numbers and the stock reaction
Block's closely watched gross profit climbed 22% to $3.2 billion, topping estimates of $3.1 billion. Operating expenses were $2.8 billion in the quarter, higher than both a year earlier and the prior period.
The company recorded an estimated $230 million loss tied to its Bitcoin holdings. Block had pre-reported results from part of its Bitcoin business on Oct. 8 and noted this unit largely serves customer crypto trading, so results swing with Bitcoin prices.
Shares gained 6.2% in after-hours trading. The stock closed Tuesday at $76, far below the $289 peak reached in 2021, when the company went by the name Square, but above roughly $50 in February and having climbed to $86.92 in August.
The Justice Department agreement investors were watching
Block said it reached a deferred prosecution agreement with the U.S. Department of Justice totaling $964 million related to a longstanding probe into alleged customer abuses. On a net basis, the matter will cost $764 million, and both figures are well above the $526 million settlement reserve recorded last quarter.
The long-running Justice Department issue had weighed on sentiment for years, even as Block reached multiple agreements with other government entities. Tuesday's disclosure came via a securities filing.
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The revamp: cost reset, AI tools, and new scorecards
Block has been retooling its business since last year. Square pushed to win more merchants, especially in food and restaurants, while Cash App released features to act more like a day-to-day bank account than a bill-splitting tool. In February, the company detailed massive job cuts, then rolled out internally built AI tools, some now sold as a new revenue stream.
"We believe we've meaningfully crossed the chasm of transforming our company from one that creates traditional financial products into one that streams intelligence as people need it," Jack Dorsey wrote in his shareholder letter, which said the company now anticipates 2026 gross profit of $12.6 billion, versus a previously stated $12.5 billion.
"We have fundamentally rewired our cost base and continued to drive our cost base down," said Amrita Ahuja, Block's foundational lead responsible for the finance, legal, and people organizations. She added the company has moved beyond a "rule of 40" and is now achieving a "rule of 50," a tech yardstick that blends growth and profitability.
Business lead Owen Jennings said leadership is tracking a few performance markers: linking Cash App and Square users through a program named Neighborhoods, monthly active users on Cash App, and progress across AI initiatives. A new metric, "first machine intelligence revenue," captures sales from the in-house AI products. "What's become clear is that if we can use these tools at scale at our company, then they're a good fit for companies and individuals at all sizes," he said.
What this means for your portfolio
The setup is both offense and cleanup. Profit is outpacing forecasts and the 2026 goal just inched higher, while a sizable Justice Department cost is now better defined. Expenses rose as savings get recycled into growth ideas, and crypto still adds chop. The bottom line: if you follow Block, watch how AI monetization ramps, whether engagement tightens across Cash App and Square, and how cost control tracks against that $12.6 billion 2026 target.
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