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Starbucks' U.S. momentum offsets softer international, sets FY27 EPS above Street

Published Oct 29, 2026
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Summary:
  • Quarter ended Sept. 27 came in mixed: U.S. cafés outperformed while international lagged expectations.
  • Adjusted EPS was 80 cents vs. 72 cents expected; revenue was $9.14 billion against a $9.23 billion consensus.
  • Fiscal 2027 outlook calls for adjusted EPS of $3.15 to $3.25 and a 1% revenue decline, with China's JV shift and an extra week embedded.

Quarter snapshot

Starbucks said global comparable sales rose 7.2% for the period ended Sept. 27, driven by higher average ticket, topping StreetAccount's 6% estimate. Transactions increased 1.8% in the quarter. In the U.S., same store sales advanced 7.7%, beating StreetAccount's 6.5% projection.

Outside North America, comparable sales edged up 0.9% as lower traffic offset higher spending per visit, short of the 3.2% gain analysts tracked by StreetAccount expected. Net revenue decreased 4% to $9.14 billion, which the company tied to the China joint venture arrangement.

In the fiscal fourth quarter, the company reported net income of $677.2 million, translating to 59 cents per share; a year earlier, that figure was $133.1 million and 12 cents per share. Excluding restructuring, impairment and other items, earnings were 80 cents per share. Against expectations, adjusted EPS was 80 cents versus 72 cents projected, and revenue was $9.14 billion compared with a $9.23 billion forecast.

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Outlook and market reaction

For fiscal 2027, Starbucks guided to adjusted earnings per share of $3.15 to $3.25, a notch above Wall Street's $3.14 consensus. It expects revenue to decline 1%, while analysts were looking for net sales growth of 1.4%. The company said the outlook reflects an additional week and the transition of its China operations to a joint venture model.

"We enter fiscal 2027 with momentum, a clear set of priorities and higher ambitions for what Starbucks can become," CEO Brian Niccol said in a video posted on the company's website. Shares dipped slightly in after hours trading.

What this means for your portfolio

The setup is clear: strong U.S. demand, softer international traffic, and a top line pressured by the China deal mechanics, with EPS guidance a touch above the Street. The company added 303 net new cafés in the quarter and, in September, announced plans to shutter approximately 1% of its North American footprint - around 250 locations - in a turnaround effort. The bottom line: the U.S. engine is humming, but watch how the international mix and the China joint venture flow through revenue over the next few quarters.

Learning how to use new technologies can quietly improve long term investment decisions. On 11/17, our CEO Jaspreet Singh goes live for our first ever investor livestream on how to use ChatGPT and Claude to invest like a pro. Register to join him.

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