Free NewsletterPro Login

Free Live Investors Workshop

Seats limited

Tue, Sep 29.

The dollar is losing value.

Here’s how investors can still profit.

Hosted By

Jaspreet Singh

Founder, Briefs Finance

X

Warning: Undefined variable $stocks in /var/www/briefs.co/htdocs/wp-content/plugins/oxygen/component-framework/components/classes/code-block.class.php(133) : eval()'d code on line 448

Warning: foreach() argument must be of type array|object, null given in /var/www/briefs.co/htdocs/wp-content/plugins/oxygen/component-framework/components/classes/code-block.class.php(133) : eval()'d code on line 448

Warning: Undefined variable $funds in /var/www/briefs.co/htdocs/wp-content/plugins/oxygen/component-framework/components/classes/code-block.class.php(133) : eval()'d code on line 472

Warning: foreach() argument must be of type array|object, null given in /var/www/briefs.co/htdocs/wp-content/plugins/oxygen/component-framework/components/classes/code-block.class.php(133) : eval()'d code on line 472
/* the link was here */

January's CMBS Delinquency Climbs to 8.1% Led by Office Distress

Published Jul 19, 2026
Share:
Summary:
  • The 30+ day delinquency rate for KBRA-rated CMBS rose to 8.1% in January 2026 from 7.6% in December.
  • Office properties accounted for 68.5% of the $2.3 billion in newly distressed loans last month.
  • The $835 million loan on One New York Plaza was modified and extended after going to a special servicer.

What Actually Happened

Meanwhile, the broader distress metric - which includes both delinquent loans and those that are current but under special servicing - rose to 10.7% from 10.4%.

Office loan delinquencies jumped 156 basis points to 13.9%. This spike was largely driven by the One New York Plaza loan ($835 million in ONYP 2020-1NYP). That loan had been handed over to a special servicer because an imminent monetary default was expected just before its January 2026 maturity, at which point it became a nonperforming matured balloon. Subsequently, the servicer executed a modification that included an extension.

The Big Loans Making Headlines

Two sizable office loans accounted for the bulk of January's increase.

Get the market news that matters in a five-minute read with Market Briefs, our free daily newsletter

If the borrower meets the terms of the modification agreement, the loan is expected to be returned to the master servicer.

Next is Worldwide Plaza ($235 million across four KBRA-rated conduits), which became 30 days delinquent after missing its payment in December. According to the servicer, a new holder of the mezzanine note had sped up the remaining mezzanine loan and arranged a UCC sale for the middle of January.

In total, loans totaling $2.3 billion entered the distress category in January. Among these, 52.7% ($1.2 billion) faced either an impending or actual maturity default.

Not All Bad News

Here is where the story gets a little less gloomy.

While offices keep struggling, retail actually had a decent month. Retail's distress rate fell 54 basis points thanks to three loans with an average size of $130.2 million being handed back to the master servicer. After ground-lease disputes were settled, Augusta Mall ($159 million across two KBRA-rated conduits) returned to the master servicer.

The Mall of New Hampshire, carrying $150 million in two KBRA-rated conduits, came back once an extension agreement was finalized. Similarly, St. Louis Premium Outlets, with $81.6 million across three KBRA-rated conduits, returned after the borrower pushed the loan's maturity to October 2027.

The broader picture still shows pressure. Total distressed loans now stand at $34.9 billion, up from $34.2 billion in December, while delinquent loans alone reached $26.5 billion. More than half of January's newly distressed loans - 52.7% - involved an imminent or actual maturity default, underscoring the refinancing challenges many borrowers face as older loans come due.

This persistent stress, particularly in the office sector, reflects ongoing low occupancy rates and tighter lending conditions that have made it difficult for property owners to secure new financing. The overall distressed loan volume remains elevated, suggesting that the market may see further downgrades and special servicing activity in coming months.

The structural shift toward hybrid and remote work continues to depress demand for traditional office space, while higher interest rates have made refinancing more expensive. Many borrowers are now forced to either inject additional equity or hand over properties to lenders, prolonging the cycle of distress across CMBS portfolios.

Join Market Briefs, our free daily newsletter, for a quick daily rundown of the markets

Disclosure

Recent News

1 2 3 80

Get Market Briefs delivered to your inbox every morning for free!

No fluff. No noise. No politics. Just finance news you can read in 5 minutes.

Blogs

September 17, 2026
Why America Bailed Out the Yen: The Japan Carry Trade, the Dollar and Your Mortgage Rate
  • In July 2026 the US sent money to steady the yen because Japan is the largest foreign owner of US debt, and Washington needs Japan to keep lending.
  • For decades the Japan carry trade let Wall Street borrow yen at essentially 0% and pour it into US stocks, real estate and Treasuries, and rising Japanese rates are shutting that off.
  • A weaker yen means fewer buyers for the dollar and for US debt, which pushes Treasury rates up and drags mortgage, car loan and credit card rates up with them.
Read More
September 16, 2026
Treasury Yields Are Spiking Because Lenders Are Backing Away From U.S. Debt
  • The U.S. is paying its highest 30-year borrowing rate in about two decades because its biggest lenders, the Fed, foreign governments, and banks, are all pulling back from Treasuries.
  • Every mortgage, car loan, credit card, and business loan is priced off the 10-year Treasury yield, so when Washington pays more to borrow, so do you.
  • With about $40 trillion of debt against a $32 trillion economy, the country either outgrows its debt or slides into a doom loop, and investors need a plan for both.
Read More
September 15, 2026
Fiat Currency Runs on Trust, and the World Just Stopped Trusting the Dollar
  • Gold has overtaken US treasuries as the world's top reserve asset, and central banks are now buying less US debt and more gold.
  • The US dollar is a fiat currency, meaning it's backed by a promise rather than gold, so it loses value when fewer countries want to hold it.
  • Whether the US economy or its national debt grows faster from here decides which assets stand to benefit next.
Read More
September 14, 2026
Why RAM Prices Are Soaring - and Where the Money Is Moving
  • Memory chips - the RAM inside phones, laptops, fridges, and trucks - are in a shortage Tim Cook called a 100-year flood, and some memory prices have climbed about 90% in a single quarter.
  • Four forces hit at once: AI demand, a production shutdown in 2023, build times that push any fix to 2028 at the earliest, and a bombed helium plant in Qatar.
  • The last two supply shocks ended in aggressive Fed rate hikes and market drops of around 45% and 20%, and this time Washington is spending heavily to bring memory production home.
Read More
September 11, 2026
How Is the Economy Doing? Washington Says It's Fixed, but the Numbers Don't Agree
  • Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent says the economy is fixed because lower earners' incomes are now rising faster than top earners'.
  • The Atlanta Fed and Bank of America show different numbers, and Hilton, Marriott, and McDonald's can't agree on what they're seeing either.
  • Whichever side is right, the economy is built to make investors rich, and inflation is how it does it.
Read More
September 10, 2026
US National Debt Hits $40 Trillion: Why the Economy Hasn't Collapsed Yet
  • The US national debt crossed $40 trillion in 2026 and is growing faster than the economy. The debt to GDP ratio now sits at 125%, the highest outside the pandemic and higher than World War II.
  • On September 9, 2026, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent rolled out an emergency plan for the government to lend money to itself. Ray Dalio now says the dollar has roughly three years before real pain.
  • Empires rarely default. They debase. Since 1971, median household income grew about 8x while houses grew 17x and the S&P 500 grew 360x, so investors got richer while workers fell behind.
Read More
September 9, 2026
Your 401k Is Fueling the AI Bubble
  • About $10 trillion of 401k money sits in a $77 trillion stock market, mostly through target date funds and S&P 500 funds. Roughly 30% of every S&P 500 dollar lands in five AI-heavy tech stocks.
  • Four bubble signals run hotter today than before the 2000 crash: top-ten concentration, tech's share of the index, the Buffett Indicator, and how much of the market index funds own.
  • You only lock in an AI bubble loss if you sell. The 2022, 2020, 2008, and 2000 crashes were all buying windows for long-term investors, and the US-China AI race means government money could keep flowing in.
Read More
September 9, 2026
What Is Wealth Preservation? How To Protect Your Money From Anything
  • Wealth preservation is an investing strategy built around keeping the money you've already made instead of chasing growth.
  • It leans on assets that hold steady when markets fall - gold, Treasury bonds, and companies that keep earning through wars, crashes, and pandemics.
  • The tradeoff is real: you give up some upside, and the two key numbers to check are maximum drawdown and correlation to the market.
Read More
September 8, 2026
Why Is Everything So Expensive? Why Prices May Never Come Back Down
  • Official inflation is 3.4% and prices are up 32% since 2020, but rent (41%), gas (47%), car insurance (64%) and ground beef (79%) all outran the 28% median wage.
  • The Federal Reserve targets 2% inflation on purpose. Rising prices push extra dollars to investors and shrink the real cost of a $40 trillion national debt.
  • Investors who simply owned the S&P 500 gained about 150% over the same six years, and the Fed's September 16 decision will show whether it protects the dollar or the economy first.
Read More
September 7, 2026
The U.S. Housing Market Just Flipped: Renting a Home Now Beats Buying One
  • The US is in a buyer's market in 41 of the 50 largest metro areas, but prices sit near record highs and mortgage rates are close to 7%.
  • The same median house costs 27% more than it did in 2021 while the monthly payment costs 90% more, and incomes rose a little more than 10%.
  • A 2008-style crash is not showing up in the data, so the pressure is landing on buyers instead of prices.
Read More
1 2 3 27
Share via
Copy link