Kalshi is introducing three tools aimed at making its election markets easier to read and trust: labels that mark low-activity markets, accuracy scores, and a live ticker of trades. The low-volume tag will appear on election markets with less than $10,000, a threshold where experts say prices can swing more and bid-ask gaps can widen. The company will also post Brier scores on its own election markets to track how the market's implied probabilities stack up against actual outcomes. And for anyone who wants to see the tape, there will be activity feeds showing individual election trades in real time.
The update lands with less than a month to go before the midterms, after Kalshi saw election traders gravitate more toward local contests than national ones.
Prediction markets are building the trust infrastructure as they scale. Market Briefs covers that build-out free every weekday.
Expect more context right on the contract page: you will see which markets are thin, how accurate pricing has been historically, and the latest trades as they happen. Kalshi's internal numbers show interest is running ahead of participation, with viewers outnumbering traders by roughly five to one on midterm markets. Back in July, the company also launched a Midterms Hub that lets anyone check odds set by traders on markets linked to U.S. Senate and House races.
If you use prediction markets to inform your political or macro views, better labels and accuracy stats can help separate signal from noise, especially in thinly traded corners where prices can be jumpy. More transparency means fewer surprises as you weigh how election risk could ripple into your portfolio.
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