Growth engine in the U.S.
Polymarket said Tuesday its annualized revenue has moved past $1.8 billion, building on a run rate above $1 billion it disclosed in June after launching a domestic exchange in May. That U.S. venue operates apart from its decentralized finance international platform, and it is where the recent spike in activity is concentrated.
Data from TickerTracker shows the domestic exchange's notional volume at $4 billion in June and above $14.5 billion by October. The surge coincided with marquee events, including summer's FIFA World Cup and the NFL season kicking off in September.
What is trading and how
Combo event contracts - bundled bets similar to multi leg parlays in sportsbooks - have added fuel. On Sunday, they represented more than 70 percent of trading on the platform.
Funding and friction
Since June, Polymarket has begun a new $1 billion raise that values the company at $21 billion. At the same time, it is facing near term headwinds. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission is running a broad investigation, including questions about advertising and whether the company previously violated a settlement requiring it to block U.S. residents from its international exchange.
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The company could also see added attention from a Democratic congress, in part because President Donald Trump's son, Donald Trump Jr., is an advisor. Polymarket has said it intends to work with lawmakers as they get up to speed on prediction markets. "We welcome scrutiny," a spokesperson said.
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