Europe's Rally Hits New Highs as Profit Growth and AI Adoption Fuel Gains

Europe's Old Bargain Story Is Changing

European stocks used to have one simple pitch: they were cheaper than US stocks. That is still true, but it is not the only pitch anymore.

The broad Stoxx 600 has climbed 11% in 2026. Germany's DAX, France's CAC 40 and Italy's FTSE MIB are all at record highs.

That strength has broadened across the market. Banks, industrial names and AI-related companies have all been part of the move, not just the usual tech leaders.

A lot of that comes down to earnings.

BlackRock's Helen Jewell says Europe's resilience surprised the market and demand has been firmer than expected.

"There is definite excitement about Europe," she says.

Fund managers are starting to shift their bets.

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UBS's Mark Haefele says the balance of risks is tilted toward companies beating earnings expectations this quarter.

AI Is Lifting More Than Chip Stocks

The AI trade is changing shape. Investors are looking past the companies that build AI and toward the ones that use it to protect their profit margins.

European chip names still look strong. ASML Holding NV and Infineon Technologies AG have both climbed more than 60% during 2026, putting them among the main drivers of the Stoxx 600.

But the money is spreading. A Bank of America basket of European AI adopters - ABB Ltd., Standard Chartered Plc and E.On SE among them - is up 14% so far in 2026. That beats the 3% rise from US hyperscalers, the giant cloud companies spending heavily on AI data centers.

Cyclical stocks are getting attention too. These are companies that rise and fall with the economy, like banks and industrial goods. The Stoxx 600 Banks index is 22% higher in 2026.

Citi's Beata Manthey says investors will keep owning tech but also add cyclical positions, which should benefit European stocks. Even if AI momentum revives, she says, investors remember the sector's volatility. Tech is now a complement to the rest of the market, not a replacement for it.

What It Means for Your Portfolio

The rally has broad support. Close to 75% of Stoxx 600 stocks remain above their 200-day moving average, a long-term trend line. That is near the strongest market breadth of the past decade, meaning a wide slice of the market is moving, not just a few names.

Valuations are catching up to the story. The Stoxx 600 trades at 15 times expected earnings. The gap with the S&P 500 is now the smallest in four years.

That does not mean Europe is risk-free. Some investors still worry about the region's long-term growth next to the US. Edmond de Rothschild Asset Management's Ariane Hayate says Federal Reserve rate hikes could derail European equities, though she calls the direction of travel broadly positive. EFG Asset Management's Daniel Murray thinks the bearish bets were overdone.

He says, "You're starting from a place where there's negative positioning, but the sentiment is improving. That's quite a nice combination."

Talk of geopolitical risk has cooled too. Tensions between Washington and Tehran have eased, and oil is below its July peak, which takes pressure off inflation. Shipping through the Strait of Hormuz still has not fully returned to normal. The backdrop suggests European indexes could keep breaking records in the second half of 2026.

For your portfolio, the shift is worth watching even if you never buy a European stock. Europe is no longer just the cheap table in the corner. It now has earnings growth, a broadening rally, and a piece of the AI story, which makes it a real contender.

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