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Mystery Trader Bets $340 Million That Bitcoin Will Keep Falling

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Published Oct 21, 2025
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Summary:
  • A mysterious trader who made nearly $200 million last week betting against Bitcoin just opened a new $340 million short position, expecting prices to keep dropping
  • The trader denies being a "Trump insider" after speculation that last week's perfectly timed trade came from advance knowledge of tariff announcements
  • Bitcoin remains down about 8% for the week, and investors are watching nervously to see if this big bet against crypto pays off again

What Happened?

A crypto "whale" (that's what we call really big traders) is making another massive bet that Bitcoin prices will fall. This trader deposited $40 million on Monday and used it to open a $340 million short position with 10x leverage on the trading platform Hyperliquid.

Here's what that means in plain English: The trader borrowed money to amplify their bet, so every dollar Bitcoin drops earns them ten dollars in profit. But if Bitcoin rises too much (specifically to $130,460), they lose everything.

This is the same trader who made headlines last week by perfectly timing a short position right before President Trump announced new tariffs. That trade made them nearly $200 million when the crypto market crashed and triggered $19 billion in liquidations across the board.

Now people are asking: Was it just incredible timing, or did someone know something they shouldn't have?

Why This Matters

The timing of last week's trade was suspiciously perfect. The trader opened a $450 million short position, and shortly after, Trump's tariff announcement sent crypto prices tumbling. That's why some blockchain analysts labeled this account the "Trump insider whale."

Former BitForex CEO Garrett Jin got pulled into the drama when analysts linked the wallet address to him. He quickly denied it, saying he has no relationship with the Trump family and the account isn't his. But the speculation shows how nervous the crypto market is right now about big players potentially having unfair advantages.

For everyday investors, this matters because these huge leveraged bets can move markets. When a trader this size makes big moves, it can create ripple effects that impact everyone's portfolios. Bitcoin is already down 8% this week, and if this whale's bet pays off again, it could signal more pain ahead.

The Bottom Line

Whether this trader had inside information or just got lucky, they're clearly confident Bitcoin has further to fall. So far, the new position is up over $700,000 in unrealized profits.

The bigger picture? Large traders with deep pockets can make massive leveraged bets that smaller investors simply can't match. When those bets work out, it raises questions about market fairness - especially when the timing seems too good to be true.

For now, the crypto market is watching this position closely. If Bitcoin rallies and liquidates this whale, it could give the market a boost. But if the trader's bearish bet pays off again, expect more volatility ahead.

Disclosure

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